In the C40 master class we discussed starting resilience
planning with an evaluation of a city’s risks associated with climate change.
The classic approach to evaluating risk based on impact x probability can be
elaborated on by evaluating the cascade effect, which looks beyond the direct
impacts to the impacts of the impacts. For example, climate change causes more
intense/frequent rain events, which causes more frequent flooding, which causes
property damage, which causes businesses to close, which causes a dip in the
local economy, which causes people to move, which causes school enrollment to
go down…This is a linear example, but in reality, the cascading impacts
branch out like a family tree of catastrophe. Looking at potential negative
impacts in this way can help us developing a stronger business case by
expanding our accounting for the cost of inaction.
Maybe it’s because the Cascades Range is like a bookend for our region and where our drinking water originates, but I don’t like using the word ‘cascade’ to only describe the terrible chain of events that spawns from an initial system shock or a stressor (human steps into a forest and mass extinction ensues!). I think we should reclaim the cascade effect as a term that describes the chain of positive impacts that strategic investments in water and community can have on the Cascadia region.
Chill! Goodwill and Cascadia - Eureka! We’ve found them. Seattle makes a nice pairing
with Vancouver BC when it comes to climate adaptation and one water management
issues.
We live in the same bioregion sharing the same climate,
the Salish Sea, the J pod and our common future. Our populations, growth
patterns and affordability issues have similarities too. Our drinking water
comes from pristine mountain reservoirs, our drainage and wastewater is a mix
of separated systems and combined sewers and our community’s are surrounded by
and connected to the water.
As peers, our new colleagues will provide us with intellectual companionship and sharing that is important to our region.
There are differences (political, regulatory, financial,
etc) but as civil servants we seem aligned in the values, hopes, and concerns
we share for Cascadia.
It’s an easy partnership with a seasoned City Planning
Director named Gil (who’s name was mistaken early in the trip for Chill), a
thoughtful and gracious Engineering Director with a last name that translates
to “goodwill”, and talented, energetic and committed staff - Melina, Wendy and
Jimmy.
Seattle wouldn’t be on this learning exchange if not for
their desire to reach across the border, make an invite, do the heavy lifting for a grant
and forge a connection. We are indebted and in gratitude to this kindness and
foresight.
In responding to the uncertainty of climate change and the need for innovation, we
all need encouragement and perhaps, in the future, a little more friendly
competition, aye?
JPod and Salish Sea
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